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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin (BTC) reaches or exceeds $150,000 USD on any major exchange (Coinbase, Binance, or Kraken) at any point before 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2025. Resolution criteria: - Price must be confirmed on at least two of the three major exchanges listed above - Intraday wicks count - only needs to touch $150,000 briefly - Market resolves to "Yes" immediately upon reaching the threshold - If $150,000 is not reached by the deadline, market resolves to "No" This includes consideration of: - Current Bitcoin ETF inflows and institutional adoption trends - Historical post-halving cycle performance patterns - Macroeconomic factors including inflation and monetary policy - Market sentiment and on-chain metrics
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- •Historical context & precedents
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