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200
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200
markets
🔥 Hot
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$49,856,786.87
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
🐋
5.5%
YES
94.5%
NO
🔥 Hot
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Other
December 10, 2025
Dec 10
$34,580,157.876
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
93.5%
+0.1%
YES
6.5%
0.1%
NO
🔥 Hot
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Other
December 10, 2025
Dec 10
$30,073,594.56
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
5.5%
+0.1%
YES
94.5%
0.1%
NO
🔥 Hot
Maduro out in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$14,647,380.641
vol
➡️
🐋
15.5%
+0.3%
YES
84.5%
0.3%
NO
🔥 Hot
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$9,864,250.032
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
2.8%
YES
97.2%
NO
🔥 Hot
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Other
December 7, 2025
Dec 7
$9,085,127.569
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
22.6%
-0.7%
YES
77.4%
+0.7%
NO
🔥 Hot
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Other
July 31, 2026
Jul 31
$7,110,855.164
vol
🔥🔥🔥
🐋
48.5%
+0.7%
YES
51.5%
0.7%
NO
🔥 Hot
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Other
December 7, 2025
Dec 7
$6,426,995.738
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
3.8%
-1.3%
YES
96.2%
+1.3%
NO
🔥 Hot
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$6,368,663.326
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
🐋
29.5%
+1.1%
YES
70.5%
1.1%
NO
🔥 Hot
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Other
December 7, 2025
Dec 7
$5,107,023.05
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
73.5%
-1.3%
YES
26.5%
+1.3%
NO
📊 Active
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
Other
November 16, 2025
Nov 16
$4,991,537.157
vol
➡️
🐋
3.3%
-1.3%
YES
96.8%
+1.3%
NO
📊 Active
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Other
November 16, 2025
Nov 16
$4,967,953.705
vol
🔥🔥🔥
🐋
96.8%
-0.8%
YES
3.2%
+0.8%
NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
Other
January 1, 2026
Jan 1
$4,730,874.24
vol
🔥🔥🔥
🐋
99.6%
-0.4%
YES
0.4%
+0.4%
NO
📊 Active
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
Other
January 1, 2026
Jan 1
$4,718,409.462
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
2.5%
-1.5%
YES
97.5%
+1.5%
NO
📊 Active
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$3,976,390.791
vol
➡️
35.5%
+1.4%
YES
64.5%
1.4%
NO
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$3,957,037.978
vol
➡️
🐋
4.5%
+0.4%
YES
95.5%
0.4%
NO
📊 Active
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$3,575,080.301
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
46.0%
+0.9%
YES
54.0%
0.9%
NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Other
March 31, 2026
Mar 31
$3,488,714.397
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
22.5%
-0.5%
YES
77.5%
+0.5%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Other
December 10, 2025
Dec 10
$3,361,148.416
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
6.5%
+1.6%
YES
93.5%
1.6%
NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$3,317,180.333
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
13.5%
-0.3%
YES
86.5%
+0.3%
NO
📊 Active
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$3,314,371.816
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
87.5%
-1%
YES
12.5%
+1%
NO
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$3,275,892.152
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
93.0%
-0.3%
YES
7.0%
+0.3%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Other
December 10, 2025
Dec 10
$3,218,232.617
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
93.0%
-1.7%
YES
7.0%
+1.7%
NO
📊 Active
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$3,215,389.365
vol
➡️
🐋
1.9%
+0.8%
YES
98.0%
0.8%
NO
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Other
February 8, 2026
Feb 8
$2,977,996.508
vol
🔥🔥🔥
5.5%
-0.1%
YES
94.5%
+0.1%
NO
📊 Active
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$2,826,068.581
vol
➡️
29.5%
-0.8%
YES
70.5%
+0.8%
NO
📊 Active
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Other
December 7, 2025
Dec 7
$2,742,818.972
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
39.3%
-1.4%
YES
60.7%
+1.4%
NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$2,742,076.534
vol
🔥🔥🔥
2.1%
+0.4%
YES
98.0%
0.4%
NO
📊 Active
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Other
December 7, 2025
Dec 7
$2,726,353.565
vol
🔥🔥🔥
16.0%
-0.6%
YES
84.0%
+0.6%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$2,630,192.561
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
🐋
5.5%
+1.7%
YES
94.5%
1.7%
NO
📊 Active
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Other
December 7, 2025
Dec 7
$2,598,278.372
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
5.5%
-1.5%
YES
94.5%
+1.5%
NO
📊 Active
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Other
December 7, 2025
Dec 7
$2,506,589.82
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
39.8%
-1.3%
YES
60.2%
+1.3%
NO
⚡ Volatile
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$2,486,479.07
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
2.1%
-1.6%
YES
97.9%
+1.6%
NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$2,383,392.161
vol
🔥🔥🔥
🐋
2.1%
-0.3%
YES
97.9%
+0.3%
NO
📊 Active
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$2,365,138.673
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
86.5%
+1.5%
YES
13.5%
1.5%
NO
📊 Active
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Other
July 31, 2026
Jul 31
$2,340,355.149
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
48.5%
-1.4%
YES
51.5%
+1.4%
NO
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?
Other
February 8, 2026
Feb 8
$2,282,711.984
vol
🔥🔥🔥
7.8%
-0.4%
YES
92.2%
+0.4%
NO
📊 Active
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$2,223,866.924
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
9.3%
-0.9%
YES
90.6%
+0.9%
NO
📊 Active
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$2,157,523.089
vol
➡️
17.5%
-0.7%
YES
82.5%
+0.7%
NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$2,146,361.644
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
53.5%
-0.4%
YES
46.5%
+0.4%
NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$2,106,334.884
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
7.3%
-0.3%
YES
92.7%
+0.3%
NO
📊 Active
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
Other
February 8, 2026
Feb 8
$2,097,888.101
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
9.5%
-1.3%
YES
90.5%
+1.3%
NO
📊 Active
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$2,070,527.629
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
4.2%
-1.5%
YES
95.8%
+1.5%
NO
📊 Active
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Other
February 8, 2026
Feb 8
$2,063,174.127
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
8.5%
-1.1%
YES
91.5%
+1.1%
NO
📊 Active
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$1,924,370.984
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
4.3%
-1.3%
YES
95.7%
+1.3%
NO
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,897,312.277
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
81.5%
-0.3%
YES
18.5%
+0.3%
NO
📊 Active
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,866,570.977
vol
➡️
6.9%
+0.7%
YES
93.1%
0.7%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$1,862,625.983
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
3.5%
-1.7%
YES
96.5%
+1.7%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$1,839,673.906
vol
➡️
🐋
11.5%
+1.6%
YES
88.5%
1.6%
NO
📊 Active
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$1,830,853.999
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
14.5%
-0.9%
YES
85.5%
+0.9%
NO
📊 Active
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,822,128.434
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
41.5%
+1.3%
YES
58.5%
1.3%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$1,769,881.671
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
4.2%
-1.8%
YES
95.8%
+1.8%
NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$1,679,548.921
vol
❄️❄️❄️
71.5%
+0.4%
YES
28.5%
0.4%
NO
📊 Active
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,624,517.262
vol
➡️
5.5%
+0.9%
YES
94.5%
0.9%
NO
📊 Active
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$1,562,455.046
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
2.4%
-1%
YES
97.7%
+1%
NO
📊 Active
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,561,406.12
vol
➡️
5.7%
+1.5%
YES
94.3%
1.5%
NO
📊 Active
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,547,139.678
vol
🔥🔥🔥
🐋
6.5%
+1%
YES
93.5%
1%
NO
📊 Active
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$1,510,140.604
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
2.5%
-1.4%
YES
97.5%
+1.4%
NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$1,497,045.647
vol
🔥🔥🔥
3.9%
-0.4%
YES
96.2%
+0.4%
NO
📊 Active
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,466,676.289
vol
🔥🔥🔥
🐋
1.9%
+1%
YES
98.0%
1%
NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
Other
September 30, 2025
Sep 30
$1,446,291.432
vol
➡️
97.7%
-0.4%
YES
2.3%
+0.4%
NO
📊 Active
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$1,433,022.296
vol
➡️
25.5%
-0.6%
YES
74.5%
+0.6%
NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,408,599.561
vol
➡️
🐋
2.5%
+0.3%
YES
97.5%
0.3%
NO
📊 Active
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,398,004.526
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
4.5%
+0.8%
YES
95.5%
0.8%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,382,004.749
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
🐋
1.8%
+1.6%
YES
98.2%
1.6%
NO
📊 Active
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,375,449.842
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
🐋
94.3%
+1.2%
YES
5.7%
1.2%
NO
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,272,689.145
vol
❄️❄️❄️
14.2%
-0.2%
YES
85.8%
+0.2%
NO
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,234,296.67
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
3.1%
-0.1%
YES
96.9%
+0.1%
NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$1,228,145.02
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
5.3%
-0.5%
YES
94.8%
+0.5%
NO
📊 Active
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,218,323.931
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
2.0%
-1.4%
YES
98.0%
+1.4%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$1,205,428.251
vol
🔥🔥🔥
5.5%
+1.8%
YES
94.5%
1.8%
NO
📊 Active
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,203,123.427
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
4.5%
-1.4%
YES
95.5%
+1.4%
NO
📊 Active
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$1,165,536.422
vol
➡️
🐋
7.5%
-0.7%
YES
92.5%
+0.7%
NO
📊 Active
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,123,700.856
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
🐋
3.5%
+1.3%
YES
96.5%
1.3%
NO
📊 Active
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,106,362.303
vol
🔥🔥🔥
1.8%
+1.5%
YES
98.2%
1.5%
NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,086,900.858
vol
🔥🔥🔥
15.5%
-0.2%
YES
84.5%
+0.2%
NO
📊 Active
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,032,561.803
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
23.5%
+0.8%
YES
76.5%
0.8%
NO
📊 Active
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$1,010,440.195
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
6.3%
+0.9%
YES
93.7%
0.9%
NO
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Other
February 28, 2026
Feb 28
$970,890.185
vol
🔥🔥🔥
🐋
3.1%
-0.4%
YES
96.9%
+0.4%
NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$957,241.901
vol
🔥🔥🔥
🐋
3.2%
-0.7%
YES
96.8%
+0.7%
NO
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$943,634.425
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
🐋
4.2%
+0.9%
YES
95.8%
0.9%
NO
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$934,087.369
vol
➡️
1.9%
+1.5%
YES
98.0%
1.5%
NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Other
July 31, 2026
Jul 31
$903,412.795
vol
❄️❄️❄️
50.5%
-0.5%
YES
49.5%
+0.5%
NO
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$889,769.171
vol
❄️❄️❄️
99.0%
+0.6%
YES
1.0%
0.6%
NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$873,452.634
vol
➡️
3.5%
+0.1%
YES
96.5%
0.1%
NO
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$865,461.101
vol
❄️❄️❄️
2.5%
-0.8%
YES
97.5%
+0.8%
NO
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$852,506.677
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
1.3%
+1.2%
YES
98.7%
1.2%
NO
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$845,245.644
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
2.7%
-1.2%
YES
97.3%
+1.2%
NO
Netanyahu out by 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$826,406.706
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
1.8%
-1%
YES
98.3%
+1%
NO
Ukraine election called in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$820,544.529
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
2.9%
-1.2%
YES
97.0%
+1.2%
NO
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$794,357.392
vol
➡️
17.5%
-0.6%
YES
82.5%
+0.6%
NO
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$778,396.964
vol
❄️❄️❄️
5.1%
-0.1%
YES
94.9%
+0.1%
NO
Putin out as President of Russia by end of 2026?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$774,751.966
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
14.5%
+1%
YES
85.5%
1%
NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Other
October 10, 2026
Oct 10
$761,132.971
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
20.5%
-1.3%
YES
79.5%
+1.3%
NO
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?
Other
January 1, 1970
Jan 1
$749,137.934
vol
🔥🔥🔥
9.1%
-0.6%
YES
90.9%
+0.6%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$744,153.089
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
2.9%
-1.6%
YES
97.0%
+1.6%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$733,100.856
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
1.9%
+1.6%
YES
98.0%
1.6%
NO
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Other
January 1, 1970
Jan 1
$726,243.18
vol
➡️
8.0%
+0.3%
YES
92.0%
0.3%
NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$706,312.674
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
2.6%
+0.7%
YES
97.4%
0.7%
NO
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$698,187.38
vol
❄️❄️❄️
5.4%
+0.3%
YES
94.6%
0.3%
NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$698,054.598
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
40.5%
+1%
YES
59.5%
1%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$664,995.06
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
2.1%
-1.7%
YES
97.9%
+1.7%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$585,250.072
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
91.9%
-1.6%
YES
8.1%
+1.6%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$580,487.215
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
5.5%
-1.7%
YES
94.5%
+1.7%
NO
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$569,260.509
vol
🔥🔥🔥
3.5%
YES
96.5%
NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Other
October 4, 2026
Oct 4
$561,552.707
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
21.0%
+1.4%
YES
79.0%
1.4%
NO
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$557,470.566
vol
➡️
🐋
2.4%
-0.8%
YES
97.7%
+0.8%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$542,307.451
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
2.8%
-1.8%
YES
97.2%
+1.8%
NO
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$533,661.02
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
3.8%
-0.6%
YES
96.3%
+0.6%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model this year?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$524,329.436
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
3.1%
-1.8%
YES
96.9%
+1.8%
NO
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$515,403.751
vol
➡️
45.5%
-0.8%
YES
54.5%
+0.8%
NO
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Other
February 28, 2026
Feb 28
$512,095.99
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
2.7%
+1.4%
YES
97.3%
1.4%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$499,010.93
vol
🔥🔥🔥
98.3%
+1.9%
YES
1.7%
1.9%
NO
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$493,500.799
vol
❄️❄️❄️
1.9%
+0.2%
YES
98.0%
0.2%
NO
Another Canada election called in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$467,635.87
vol
🔥🔥🔥
2.8%
+0.3%
YES
97.2%
0.3%
NO
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Other
December 10, 2025
Dec 10
$464,213.564
vol
🔥🔥🔥
🐋
93.5%
-0.3%
YES
6.5%
+0.3%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Other
July 11, 2025
Jul 11
$463,665.031
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
75.5%
-1.6%
YES
24.5%
+1.6%
NO
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$460,572.569
vol
❄️❄️❄️
95.8%
-0.8%
YES
4.2%
+0.8%
NO
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$452,127.45
vol
🔥🔥🔥
12.5%
+0.7%
YES
87.5%
0.7%
NO
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$452,080.332
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
5.0%
-1.2%
YES
95.0%
+1.2%
NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Other
May 31, 2026
May 31
$447,985.712
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
56.5%
+1.4%
YES
43.5%
1.4%
NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$446,347.424
vol
❄️❄️❄️
12.5%
+0.5%
YES
87.5%
0.5%
NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$432,456.187
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
4.0%
-1.3%
YES
96.0%
+1.3%
NO
⚡ Volatile
French election called by December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$401,050.742
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
5.5%
-1.9%
YES
94.5%
+1.9%
NO
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$356,723.456
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
🐋
4.5%
+1.4%
YES
95.5%
1.4%
NO
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
Other
January 1, 1970
Jan 1
$356,312.603
vol
➡️
5.1%
+0.7%
YES
94.9%
0.7%
NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Other
November 7, 2028
Nov 7
$340,734.38
vol
➡️
54.5%
-0.9%
YES
45.5%
+0.9%
NO
Will any AI model reach 1500+ on Chatbot Arena by Dec 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$337,710.752
vol
🔥🔥🔥
15.0%
-0.1%
YES
85.0%
+0.1%
NO
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Other
January 25, 2026
Jan 25
$335,724.444
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
7.7%
+1.1%
YES
92.3%
1.1%
NO
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Other
June 30, 2026
Jun 30
$315,659.33
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
4.3%
-0.1%
YES
95.7%
+0.1%
NO
SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$294,231.977
vol
❄️❄️❄️
2.5%
-0.6%
YES
97.5%
+0.6%
NO
5kt meteor strike in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$280,690.968
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
3.5%
-1%
YES
96.5%
+1%
NO
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Other
December 10, 2025
Dec 10
$275,209.967
vol
➡️
5.5%
-0.9%
YES
94.5%
+0.9%
NO
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$263,431.874
vol
➡️
24.0%
-1%
YES
76.0%
+1%
NO
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$239,851.012
vol
❄️❄️❄️
2.2%
+0.6%
YES
97.8%
0.6%
NO
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$200,841.934
vol
❄️❄️❄️
3.4%
+0.5%
YES
96.7%
0.5%
NO
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$180,573.974
vol
🔥🔥🔥
98.9%
-0.1%
YES
1.1%
+0.1%
NO
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$177,867.718
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
1.8%
-1.2%
YES
98.2%
+1.2%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Other
January 20, 2026
Jan 20
$159,965.31
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
38.5%
-2%
YES
61.5%
+2%
NO
ECB rate cut in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$159,641.75
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
3.1%
+1.4%
YES
96.9%
1.4%
NO
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$143,973.781
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
8.5%
-1.2%
YES
91.5%
+1.2%
NO
Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?
Other
January 2, 2026
Jan 2
$134,940.146
vol
➡️
12.5%
+0.5%
YES
87.5%
0.5%
NO
X relaunches Vine in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$132,144.791
vol
➡️
2.8%
-0.1%
YES
97.2%
+0.1%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Other
January 25, 2026
Jan 25
$131,598.044
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
28.5%
+1.7%
YES
71.5%
1.7%
NO
Will MicroStrategy hold 680k+ BTC by December 31?
Other
January 1, 2026
Jan 1
$130,944.885
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
3.3%
-1.2%
YES
96.7%
+1.2%
NO
Will Meta have a #1 AI model this year?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$125,844.555
vol
❄️❄️❄️
2.1%
+0.8%
YES
98.0%
0.8%
NO
Will Zhipu AI have a #1 AI model this year?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$117,933.456
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
1.8%
-1.5%
YES
98.3%
+1.5%
NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Other
June 30, 2026
Jun 30
$112,995.843
vol
🔥🔥🔥
57.5%
+1.1%
YES
42.5%
1.1%
NO
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?
Other
October 31, 2025
Oct 31
$107,691.336
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
3.5%
-1.4%
YES
96.5%
+1.4%
NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$105,648.621
vol
➡️
2.1%
+1.5%
YES
97.9%
1.5%
NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$103,157.641
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
56.0%
-1.2%
YES
44.0%
+1.2%
NO
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$96,607.573
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
5.9%
-1.1%
YES
94.1%
+1.1%
NO
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$96,279.78
vol
➡️
96.2%
-0.8%
YES
3.8%
+0.8%
NO
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$65,879.891
vol
🔥🔥🔥
7.0%
-0.6%
YES
93.0%
+0.6%
NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?
Other
January 1, 1970
Jan 1
$63,745.797
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
10.9%
-0.8%
YES
89.1%
+0.8%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$60,324.955
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
2.6%
+1.8%
YES
97.4%
1.8%
NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Other
December 31, 2026
Dec 31
$57,234.016
vol
➡️
🐋
8.0%
-1.1%
YES
92.0%
+1.1%
NO
Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$56,531.12
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
4.5%
+0.9%
YES
95.5%
0.9%
NO
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$54,813.158
vol
➡️
4.0%
+0.7%
YES
96.0%
0.7%
NO
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$54,617.599
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
2.5%
-1.5%
YES
97.5%
+1.5%
NO
Will PVV be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Other
October 29, 2025
Oct 29
$53,950.408
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
2.4%
+0.2%
YES
97.7%
0.2%
NO
Will BLS stop reporting payroll data this year?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$53,525.093
vol
➡️
4.2%
+1.2%
YES
95.9%
1.2%
NO
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$52,435.344
vol
❄️❄️❄️
2.8%
-0.3%
YES
97.3%
+0.3%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$52,349.329
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
1.8%
-2%
YES
98.2%
+2%
NO
Nancy Pelosi federally charged in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$51,001.025
vol
❄️❄️❄️
2.3%
-1.5%
YES
97.7%
+1.5%
NO
Megaquake by December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$46,534.631
vol
➡️
7.5%
-0.5%
YES
92.5%
+0.5%
NO
⚡ Volatile
US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?
Other
October 10, 2025
Oct 10
$44,272.264
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
99.3%
+1.9%
YES
0.7%
1.9%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Alabama win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Other
January 20, 2026
Jan 20
$44,247.432
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
5.9%
-1.7%
YES
94.0%
+1.7%
NO
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$43,590.166
vol
❄️❄️❄️
🐋
92.5%
-0.1%
YES
7.5%
+0.1%
NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Other
October 31, 2025
Oct 31
$41,119.942
vol
➡️
🐋
3.7%
+1.5%
YES
96.3%
1.5%
NO
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Other
October 10, 2026
Oct 10
$38,110.428
vol
➡️
2.9%
-0.5%
YES
97.0%
+0.5%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Other
January 20, 2026
Jan 20
$37,125.573
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
13.5%
-1.8%
YES
86.5%
+1.8%
NO
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$33,344.647
vol
➡️
2.5%
+1%
YES
97.5%
1%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
Other
January 31, 2026
Jan 31
$31,595.583
vol
🔥🔥🔥
5.5%
+1.8%
YES
94.5%
1.8%
NO
Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$31,064.135
vol
➡️
2.2%
+0.5%
YES
97.8%
0.5%
NO
Cluely CEO Roy Lee in jail in 2025
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$31,018.719
vol
🔥🔥🔥
2.9%
-0.4%
YES
97.0%
+0.4%
NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$30,642.79
vol
❄️❄️❄️
2.1%
-1.3%
YES
98.0%
+1.3%
NO
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Other
June 30, 2026
Jun 30
$24,708.674
vol
🔥🔥🔥
57.0%
+0.6%
YES
43.0%
0.6%
NO
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Other
February 1, 2026
Feb 1
$23,761.649
vol
➡️
21.5%
+1.2%
YES
78.5%
1.2%
NO
Glean IPO in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$22,864.968
vol
🔥🔥🔥
🐋
2.5%
+0.2%
YES
97.5%
0.2%
NO
Freddie Mac IPO in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$22,741.016
vol
🔥🔥🔥
2.3%
-0.3%
YES
97.8%
+0.3%
NO
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$22,458.858
vol
➡️
3.8%
+0.2%
YES
96.3%
0.2%
NO
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$21,723.381
vol
🔥🔥🔥
2.8%
+0.9%
YES
97.3%
0.9%
NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Other
January 1, 1970
Jan 1
$18,292.876
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
21.0%
-1.3%
YES
79.0%
+1.3%
NO
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$16,666.166
vol
❄️❄️❄️
3.7%
YES
96.3%
NO
Will Sydney Sweeney be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Other
January 22, 2026
Jan 22
$13,186.272
vol
➡️
5.0%
+1.4%
YES
95.0%
1.4%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$11,450.213
vol
🔥🔥🔥
🐋
4.5%
+1.9%
YES
95.5%
1.9%
NO
Trump charges Member of January 6 committee?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$10,471.345
vol
➡️
5.5%
-0.8%
YES
94.5%
+0.8%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Celonis IPO in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$10,165.128
vol
❄️❄️❄️
3.4%
-1.9%
YES
96.7%
+1.9%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Volt be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Other
October 29, 2025
Oct 29
$9,170.698
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️
4.1%
-1.6%
YES
95.9%
+1.6%
NO
Will Denk be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Other
October 29, 2025
Oct 29
$8,533.849
vol
❄️❄️❄️
2.6%
-1%
YES
97.4%
+1%
NO
Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$7,107.703
vol
➡️
3.8%
+0.3%
YES
96.2%
0.3%
NO
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Other
October 31, 2026
Oct 31
$6,811.246
vol
❄️❄️❄️
3.0%
-1.1%
YES
97.0%
+1.1%
NO
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Other
March 3, 2026
Mar 3
$6,603.189
vol
➡️
🐋
12.8%
-0.4%
YES
87.1%
+0.4%
NO
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Other
March 8, 2026
Mar 8
$6,267.739
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
🐋
6.8%
-1.2%
YES
93.3%
+1.2%
NO
⚡ Volatile
Will Hamnet win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?
Other
March 15, 2026
Mar 15
$5,886.043
vol
🔥🔥🔥🔥
1.4%
+1.9%
YES
98.6%
1.9%
NO
Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?
Other
April 12, 2026
Apr 12
$5,820.309
vol
❄️❄️❄️❄️
97.4%
-1.2%
YES
2.6%
+1.2%
NO
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Cristiano Ronaldo in 2025?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$5,817.323
vol
🔥🔥🔥
2.9%
+0.3%
YES
97.0%
0.3%
NO
Will Keith Kellogg be next National Security Advisor?
Other
December 31, 2025
Dec 31
$5,703.694
vol
➡️
3.5%
+1.2%
YES
96.5%
1.2%
NO
Will Chromakopia (Tyler the Creator) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Other
February 1, 2026
Feb 1
$5,528.879
vol
➡️
3.4%
+0.7%
YES
96.6%
0.7%
NO